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    1/14/2017 6:19 pm  #1

    Forehand_lob
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    Australian Open 2017 Contest

    THE RULES

    1. Pick quarterfinalists, semifinalists, finalists, and champions for both ATP and WTA draws. You will receive 7.5 points for each correct quarterfinalist, 5 points for each correct semifinalist and finalist, and 20 points for each correct champion.  Due to the uncertainty involved, all champions are worth full points.

    2. SUBSTITUTE PICK: Pick a player from each draw to replace one of your quarterfinalists. If this player makes the quarters, they will take the place of whomever you picked in that section of the draw

    3. BIGGEST LOSER: pick the highest seed that will lose in the earliest round from each draw. The player must be a top-16 seed. You get 5 points if your seed is the highest to lose and 2 points if your seed falls in the same round as the highest seed to lose.

    EXTRAS

    ***Unseeded quarterfinalists are worth an extra half point for every seed they take out en route.

    ***WTF bonus: if you have a pick that makes it to the quarterfinals that no one else made (not even as a substitute pick), you'll gain an extra 5 points for it.  If there are only two contestants, then the WTF bonus is not in effect.

     

    1/14/2017 6:27 pm  #2

    Forehand_lob
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    Okay, let's go for picks!

    Men
    Quarterfinals
    Murray (Pouille) v. Federer
    Wawrinka v. Tsonga
    Zverev v. Raonic
    Thiem v. Djokovic

    Semis
    Federer v. Wawrinka
    Zverev v. Djokovic

    Final
    Federer d. Zverev

    BL: Cilic

    Women

    Quarterfinals
    Kerber v. Suarez Navarro
    Halep v. Svitolina
    Pliskova v. Radwanska
    Wozniacki v. Serena

    Semifinals
    Kerber v. Svitolina
    Pliskova v. Serena

    Final
    Kerber d. Pliskova

    BL: Muguruza

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    1/15/2017 12:28 am  #3

    funches
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    MEN

    Quarterfinals

    Murray over Nishikori (Federer)
    Sock over Wawrinka
    Raonic over Nadal
    Djokovic over Sousa

    Semifinals

    Murray over Sock
    Djokovic over Raonic 

    Final

    Djokovic over Murray 6-3, 5-7, 6-3, 3-6, 6-4

    Biggest loser: Monfils

    Quarterfinals

    Kerber over Suarez Navarro
    Halep over Svitolina
    Pliskova over Radwanska
    Konta (Cibulkova) over Serena

    Semifinals

    Kerber over Halep
    Konta over Pliskova

    Final

    Konta over Kerber 6-4, 7-5

    Biggest loser: Muguruza




     

     

    1/18/2017 10:29 am  #4

    funches
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    You should throw yourself some points for picking Cilic as biggest loser even though Pouille lost in the first round. 

    Evans, the player who beat Cilic, was someone I tabbed for future greatness (or rather, goodness) when he reached the third round at the U.S. Open as a qualifier about four years ago. Then he disappeared, having zero good results anywhere, and I wondered if I had been delusional. The last six months or so have confirmed I was not crazy, at least on that front. I love watching the little guy play. He had match point against Wawrinka at the U.S. Open last fall and lost a long point, changing the entire course of the event, as it turned out. Wawrinka never came close to losing the rest of the tournament. 

     

    1/19/2017 6:33 am  #5

    Forehand_lob
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    I think I will toss myself a point or two for getting Cilic.  I think amending the rules to give that to the person who picks the best is reasonable.  Of course, you

    And, Djokovic's out!  Wasn't expecting that.  I didn't have him winning, but going deep was a no-brainer.  Has he hit the point where he's just going to decline?  Or do you think this is just a blip?

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    1/20/2017 7:45 pm  #6

    Forehand_lob
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    While Federer was very scratchy in his first two matches, I think it might actually help him at the Australian Open.  Basically, he (like Serena) is no longer consistent enough to play well for 7 straight matches.  So, by having his "bad" matches early on, he can keep up his quality of play for the rest of the tournament.  He shellacked Berdych.  We'll see what he has for Nishikori, but I'm not sure Nishikori is the kind of player that can really hurt him.

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    1/21/2017 4:20 am  #7

    funches
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    Djokovic's slump is just a blip. Obviously I don't know that for sure, but he has too much game still to decline. The loss to Istomin was a long time coming. He had gotten lucky in a lot of close matches over the years and finally did not come up with the goods to put away an inferior player at closing time.

    Plus, Istomin was terrific. I understand why people are saying it might have been the biggest upset ever, but Istomin is a lot better than his ranking and Djokovic has been much less aggressive for a while now. To me, it doesn't rate with Rosol, a hack, beating Nadal at Wimbledon. People forget Nadal made the Wimbledon final five consecutive times before losing to Rosol in the 2nd round. HIs history on grass since then has changed the perception. 

     

    1/21/2017 8:12 am  #8

    Forehand_lob
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    About Dan Evans, is he the new Jesse Levine?  Other than being a funches favorite, both are somewhat undersized, talented shotmakers.

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    1/21/2017 10:51 am  #9

    funches
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    Dan Evans is a lot better than Levine, but yeah, I really like the comparison because they do have a lot of similarities I had not thought of.

    The primary difference is although both have tremendous hands, Levine did not have enough power to beat big hitters. Evans has a lot of power despite his size. HIs good wins already are considerably better than anything Levine did before injuries derailed his career. 

     

    1/22/2017 11:01 am  #10

    Forehand_lob
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    Re: Australian Open 2017 Contest

    Well, this is certainly a wacky tournament.  Murray going down to Zverev wouldn't be too much a surprise, but not the Zverev he lost to.

    Coco is the kind of player that could beat Kerber if she's on.  The surprise is that she was able to play consistently well and it was in straight sets.  But, because I love bringing the phrase out, fuck Uncle Kiki, Coco's in the quarterfinals of a slam again.

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